Modeling the energy system in Belarus currently faces serious challenges.
Following the seizure of power in 2020 and a series of international crimes, economic sanctions were imposed on Belarus. In an attempt to circumvent them and hide possible ways to circumvent them, the government stopped publishing data on foreign trade, energy data, and a whole range of other data. As a result, reliable data on the energy balance is only available for 2020. The current state of the energy balance can only be assessed based on public data that is still available.
In this paper, an analysis of the current state of the energy system was conducted, a forecast of fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions was made for a scenario without changes.
An analysis of technologies that can be used in the future to improve energy efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions was also conducted. A scenario for the development of the energy system was developed taking into account the use of these technologies.
